WWPS21 NFFN 072100
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Jan 072310 UTC.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 03F CENTER [1002HPA] WAS ANALYSED NEAR 22.5S
171.7E AT 072100UTC. TD03F SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON
HIMAWARI-8 VIS/EIR IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION.

DEEP CONVECTION LIES NEAR THE LLCC WITH SOME WEAK BANDING AND OUTFLOW
TO THE NORTH. TD03F LIES IN A LOW SHEARED ENVIRONMENT BUT WITH WEAK
UPPER DIVERGENCE. 

GLOBAL MODELS KEEP THIS SYSTEM WEAK AND MOVE SOUTHEAST AND LATER
MERGING WITH TC HALE. 

THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS VERY LOW.

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TROPICAL CYCLONE HALE [HAY-ILL] CENTRE 994HPA WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3S
165.0E AT 072100 UTC.  POSITION FAIR BASED ON HIMMAWARI EIR/VIS,
MICROWAVE AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE REPORTS. CYCLONE MOVING EAST
SOUTHEAST AT ABOUT 28 KNOTS. MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS NEAR THE
CENTRE ESTIMATED AT ABOUT 40 KNOTS.

DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT OVER LLCC. ORGANISATION GOOD. THE
SYSTEM LIES TO THE SOUTH OF AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IN A MODERATE
SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. SST AROUND 27 DEGREES CELSIUS. HALE IS STEERED
TO THE SOUTHEAST BY THE STR LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM.

FOR MORE INFORMATION ON TC HALE, REFER TO THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE
ADVIOSRY ISSUED BY RSMC NADI. 

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NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OF FORECAST IN THE
AREA.